France Tobacco Products – Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025

The French tobacco sector is expected to grow from €19,047.2 million (US$21,755.2 million) in 2020 to €23,538 million (US$29,430.3 million) by 2025, at a CAGR of 4.3%. Cigarettes was the largest category in value terms, in 2020. The cigarettes category is also forecast to register the fastest value growth at a CAGR of 5.1%, during 2020-2025.

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the tobacco sector in France, as part of GlobalData’s global coverage of the sector. It includes analysis on the following –

– Market Context: The report provides comparative analysis of the value shares of France in the Western Europe and global tobacco sector. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of tobacco in France is also compared with the Western Europe and global levels.

– Market Size and Structure : The report offers an overview of the growth at a sector level and provides analysis of four categories: cigarettes, cigars & cigarillos, smokeless tobacco, and smoking tobacco. These categories are analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2015-2025. The section also includes value analysis of segments, value and volume analysis of sub-segments segments under each category for the period 2015-2025.

– Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of tobacco in France, by category, compared to the Western Europe and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2020. The consumer sector reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, tobacco specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.

– Taxation : It covers taxation landscape in the country and effects in the tobacco sector

– Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies by category in 2019 and analyzes the market share and growth of private label in each category.

– The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of tobacco by gender in France.

– Operating Constraints: The report cover the impact of policies and regulation on tobacco sector in France.

– Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of categories in the tobacco sector

– Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in France, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.

– Exchange rates: Exchange rates used to convert local currency to US dollars are annual average floating exchange rates.

– Time period: The report provides sector value and volume data, including category and sector level data for the period 2015-2025. Distribution channel data is of 2020, and company data is included for 2019.

Scope

– The French tobacco sector accounted for value share of 15%, in Western Europe, in 2020

– Per capita expenditure of tobacco was lower in France than regional level in 2020

– The French tobacco sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.3% by value during 2020-2025

– Convenience stores was the leading distribution channel in the cigarettes category, with a volume share of 67.2% in 2020

– France’s minimum excise duty rate has been dramatically increased in recent years

– Smoking prevalence in France is estimated at 21.1% in 2020 with 23.6% of men and 18.8% of women classified as smokers

Reasons to buy

– Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.

– Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning.

– The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.

– This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes – prime intelligence for marketers.

– Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.

Companies mentioned

Philip Morris International Inc.

Japan Tobacco Inc

Imperial Brands Plc

British American Tobacco Plc

Landewyck Group S.a.r.l.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Report scope

Part 1: Introduction

Executive Summary

Part 2: Market Context

Value growth analysis by region

PCE of France compared to global and Western Europe markets

Part 3: Market Size and Structure

France tobacco sector snapshot

Market size analysis

Cross category comparison value and volume growth analysis and category winners and losers

Market size analysis category: cigarettes

Segment analysis : cigarettes

Sub segment analysis: cigarettes

Market size analysis category: cigars and cigarillos

Segment analysis : cigars & cigarillos

Sub segment analysis: cigars and cigarillos

Market size analysis category: smokeless tobacco

Segment analysis : smokeless tobacco

Sub segment analysis: smokeless tobacco

Market size analysis category: smoking tobacco

Segment analysis: smoking tobacco

Sub segment analysis: smoking tobacco

Part 4: Production and Trade

Per capita expenditure analysis by category

Channel share analysis cigarettes

Channel share analysis cigars & cigarillos

Channel share analysis smokeless tobacco

Channel share analysis smoking tobacco

Part 5: Taxation

Tax incidence comparison cigarettes

Tax incidence comparison cigars & cigarillos

Tax incidence comparison smokeless tobacco

Tax incidence comparison smoking tobacco

Part 6: Manufacturers and Brands

Leading companies by volume share cigarettes

Leading companies by volume share cigars & cigarillos

Leading companies by volume share smokeless tobacco

Leading companies by volume share smoking tobacco

Brand share analysis of top five companies by category

Part 7: The Smoking population

Smoking population, by gender

Smoking population, by age group

Smoking population, by region

Part 8: Operating Constraints

Part 9: Prospects and Forecasts

Tobacco product growth analysis cigarettes

Tobacco product growth analysis cigars & cigarillos

Tobacco product growth analysis smokeless tobacco

Tobacco product growth analysis smoking tobacco

Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis

GDP growth and inflation

Population growth

Labor market trend

Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends

France risk index (GCRI) 2020

France risk analysis compared to global and Western Europe markets

Methodology

Definitions

Appendix

List of Tables

List of Tables

Leading categories (value), 2020

Fastest growing segments (value), 2020

leading companies by category (volume), 2019*

Leading channel by category (volume), 2020*

Leading value and volume categories

Cigarettes value analysis by segment, 2015 2025

Cigarettes value analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Cigarettes volume analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Cigars & cigarillos value analysis by segment, 2015 2025

Cigars & cigarillos value analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Cigars & cigarillos volume analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Smokeless tobacco value analysis by segment, 2015 2025

Smokeless tobacco value analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Smokeless tobacco volume analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Smoking tobacco value analysis by segment, 2015 2025

Smoking tobacco value analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Smoking tobacco volume analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025

Per capita expenditure (by category), France compared to Western Europe and global levels (in US$), 2020

Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2015 2020

Change in distribution share in cigars & cigarillos, 2015 2020

Change in distribution share in smokeless tobacco, 2015 2020

Change in distribution share in smoking tobacco, 2015 2020

EU: Cigarettes, tax incidence comparison , 2021

EU: Cigars & cigarillos, tax incidence comparison, 2021

EU: Smokeless tobacco, tax incidence comparison, 2021

EU: Smoking tobacco, tax incidence comparison, 2021

List of Figures

List of Figures

Value share of France in the global and Western Europe tobacco sector, 2020 2025

PCE comparison France, Western Europe, and global, 2015 2025

Market size and growth analysis by value, tobacco products sector, 2015 2025

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2015 2025

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigars and cigarillos category, 2015 2025

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, smokeless tobacco category, 2015 2025

Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, smoking tobacco category, 2015 2025

Key distribution channels cigarettes, in million pieces

Key distribution channels cigars & cigarillos, in million pieces

Key distribution channels smokeless tobacco, in million kg

Key distribution channels smoking tobacco, in million kg

Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2019

Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigars & cigarillos category, 2019

Leading companies (in volume million kg) in the smokeless tobacco category, 2019

Leading companies (in volume million kg) in the smoking tobacco category, 2019

Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2007 2025

Percentages of daily adult smokers by age group, 2014 and 2019

Percentages of adult smokers by region, 2017

Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2015 2025

Cigars & cigarillos consumption, million pieces, 2015 2025

Smokeless tobacco consumption, thousand kg, 2015 2025

Smoking tobacco consumption, thousand kg, 2015 2025

Real GDP (€ billion) and annual growth (%)

Nominal GDP (€ billion) and annual growth (%)

Consumer price inflation (%)

Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in € terms

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