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Colombia Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

This report elaborates Colombia's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the Colombian power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in Colombia on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. An analysis of the deals market scenario in the country’s power sector is also included in the report.

Scope

Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters – macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.

Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2017, forecast for the next 13 years to 2030

Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear

Data on leading current and upcoming projects

Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports

Policy and regulatory framework governing the market

Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Key Highlights

–

Reasons to buy

Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector

Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data

Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events

Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential

Identify key partners and business development avenues

Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants

Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.

Companies mentioned

Empresas Publicas De Medellin ESP;

Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners LP;

Enel SpA;

The AES Corp;

Grupo Argos SA

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 1

1.1 List of Tables 4

1.2 List of Figures 5

2 Executive Summary 6

2.1 Colombia, Power Sector Outlook 6

3 Introduction 9

3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 9

4 Colombia, Power Market, Snapshot 11

4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 11

4.2 Supply Security 12

4.3 Opportunities 12

4.4 Challenges 13

5 Colombia, Power Market, Market Analysis 14

5.1 Colombia, Power Market, Market Structure 14

5.2 Colombia, Power Market, Key Market Players 14

5.3 Colombia, Power Market, Financial Deals 15

5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2008–August 2018 15

5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2017 17

5.4 Colombia, Power Market, Demand Structure 17

5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2017 18

6 Colombia, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 20

6.1 Colombia, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 20

6.2 Colombia, Power Market, Important Policies 20

6.2.1 Rural Electrification Fund 20

6.2.2 Funds Supporting Investment in Energy Projects 20

6.2.3 Efficient Lighting 21

6.2.4 Program of Rational and Efficient Use of Energy and Other Forms of Non-conventional Energy 21

6.2.5 Policy guideline for the promotion of sustainable biofuels production in Colombia (Conpes 3510) 21

6.2.6 Law 939 to promote the production and commercialization of biodiesel 21

6.2.7 Law 1665 (2013) 21

6.2.8 Law 1715 (2014) 22

6.2.9 Renewable Energy Indicative Action Plan 22

6.2.10 Electric Coverage Expansion Plan, 2016–2020 22

6.2.11 National Energy Plan 2050 22

6.2.12 Generation and Transmission Expansion Plan 2015–2029 22

7 Colombia Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 24

7.1 Colombia, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000–2030 24

7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2017 24

7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000–2030 25

7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–2030 27

7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000–2030 30

7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000–2030 33

8 Colombia, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 36

8.1 Colombia, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 36

8.2 Colombia, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 37

8.3 Colombia, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 37

8.3.1 Colombia–Ecuador 37

8.3.2 Colombia–Venezuela 38

8.3.3 Colombia–Panama 38

8.4 Colombia, Power Import and Export Scenario 38

8.5 Colombia, Power Market, Electricity Trading 40

9 Colombia, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 41

9.1 Key Company in Colombia Power Market: Empresas Publicas De Medellin ESP 41

9.1.1 Company Overview 41

9.1.2 Business Description 41

9.1.3 SWOT Overview 42

9.2 Key Company in Colombia Power Market: Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners LP 44

9.2.1 Company Overview 44

9.2.2 Business Description 44

9.2.3 SWOT Overview 45

9.3 Key Company in Colombia Power Market: Enel SpA 47

9.3.1 Company Overview 47

9.3.2 Business Description 47

9.3.3 SWOT Overview 48

9.4 Key Company in Colombia Power Market: The AES Corp 50

9.4.1 Company Overview 50

9.4.2 Business Description 51

9.4.3 SWOT Overview 51

9.5 Key Company in Colombia Power Market: Grupo Argos SA 53

9.5.1 Company Overview 53

9.5.2 Business Description 53

9.5.3 SWOT Overview 54

10 Appendix 57

10.1 Market Definitions 57

10.1.1 Power 57

10.1.2 Installed Capacity 57

10.1.3 Electricity Generation 57

10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 57

10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 57

10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 57

10.1.7 Nuclear Power 57

10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 57

10.2 Abbreviations 58

10.3 Bibliography 58

10.4 Methodology 58

10.5 Coverage 59

10.5.1 Secondary Research 59

10.5.2 Primary Research 59

10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 60

10.6 Contact Us 60

10.7 Disclaimer 60

List of Tables

1.1 List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, Colombia, Gross Domestic Product (COP and $bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 12

Table 2: Power Market, Colombia, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 15

Table 3: Power Market, Colombia, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–August 2018 16

Table 4: Power Market, Colombia, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 18

Table 5: Power Market, Colombia, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 19

Table 6: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 24

Table 7: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 26

Table 8: Power Market, Colombia, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2018 27

Table 9: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 29

Table 10: Power Market, Colombia, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2018 30

Table 11: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 32

Table 12: Power Market, Colombia, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2018 33

Table 13: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 35

Table 14: Power Market, Colombia, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 36

Table 15: Power Market, Colombia, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 37

Table 16: Power Market, Colombia, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 39

Table 17: Power Market, Colombia, Empresas Publicas De Medellin ESP, SWOT Profile, 2018 42

Table 18: Power Market, Colombia, Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners LP, SWOT Profile, 2018 45

Table 19: Power Market, Colombia, Enel SpA, SWOT Profile, 2018 48

Table 20: Power Market, Colombia, The AES Corp, SWOT Profile, 2018 51

Table 21: Power Market, Colombia, Grupo Argos SA, SWOT Profile, 2018 54

Table 22: Abbreviations 58

List of Figures

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Colombia, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2017 6

Figure 2: Power Market, Colombia, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2017 7

Figure 3: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 8

Figure 4: Power Market, Colombia, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 11

Figure 5: Power Market, Colombia, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 14

Figure 6: Power Market, Colombia, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–August 2018 16

Figure 7: Power Market, Colombia, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 17

Figure 8: Power Market, Colombia, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 19

Figure 9: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 24

Figure 10: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 25

Figure 11: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 28

Figure 12: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 31

Figure 13: Power Market, Colombia, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 34

Figure 14: Power Market, Colombia, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 39

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