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Home > Pharmaceuticals >  Central Nervous System >  Opioid Use Disorder – Epidemiology Forecast to 2028

Opioid Use Disorder – Epidemiology Forecast to 2028

Opioid use disorder (OUD) is defined in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5) as a problematic pattern of opioid use leading to clinically significant impairment or distress. Symptoms of OUD include strong desire for opioids, inability to control or reduce use, continued use despite interference in major obligations or social functioning, use of larger amounts over time, development of tolerance, spending a great deal of time to obtain and use opioids, and withdrawal symptoms that occur after stopping or reducing use such as negative mood, nausea or vomiting, muscle aches, diarrhea, fever, and insomnia (American Psychiatric Association, 2013).

GlobalData epidemiologists utilized historical data obtained from peer-reviewed articles and reports to build the forecast for the 12-month total and 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases of OUD in the 8MM. GlobalData epidemiologists applied the 12-month total and 12-month diagnosed prevalence of OUD drawn from the above sources to each country’s population to calculate the12-month total and 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases OUD.

The following data describes the epidemiology forecast of OUD. In the 8MM, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast a decrease in the 12-month total prevalent cases of OUD from 3,205,478 cases in 2018 to 2,957,666 cases in 2028, at a negative Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 0.77%. In 2028, the US will have the highest number of 12-month total prevalent cases of OUD in the 8MM, with 2,001,944 12-month total prevalent cases, whereas Denmark will have the fewest number of total prevalent cases with 23,528 cases. In the 8MM, the 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases of OUD are expected to decrease from 1,708,553 cases in 2018 to 1,576,482 cases in 2028, at a negative AGR of 0.77%.

Scope

The Opioid Use Disorder Epidemiology Report and Model provide an overview of the risk factors and global trends of Opioid Use Disorder Epidemiology (OUD) in the eight major markets (8MM: US, Canada, Australia, Germany, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and Denmark).

The report includes a 10-year epidemiology forecast for the 12-month total prevalent cases (including both diagnosed and undiagnosed cases) and 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases of OUD. The 12-month total prevalent cases and 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases of OUD are further segmented by sex, and age (18 years and older). Additionally, the 12-month total prevalent cases and 12-month diagnosed prevalent cases of OUD are segmented by severity (mild, moderate, and severe).

The OUD epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.

• The Epidemiology Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 8MM.

• The Epidemiology Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.

Reasons to Buy

The OUD Epidemiology series will allow you to:

Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global OUD market.

Quantify patient populations in the global OUD market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.

Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups and sex that present the best opportunities for OUD therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Understand magnitude of OUD population by major comorbidities.

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Opioid Use Disorder: Executive Summary

2.1 Catalyst

2.2 Related Reports

2.3 Upcoming Reports

3 Epidemiology

3.1 Disease Background

3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities

3.3 Global and Historical Trends

3.4 Forecast Methodology

3.4.1 Sources Used

3.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods

3.4.3 Forecast Assumptions and Methods: 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.4.4 Forecast Assumptions and Methods: 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.4.5 Forecast Assumptions and Methods: 12-Month Total and Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD by Severity

3.4.6 Sources Not Used

3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for OUD (2018–2028)

3.5.1 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.2 Age-Specific 12-month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.3 Sex-Specific 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.4 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD by Severity

3.5.5 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.6 Age-Specific 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.7 Sex-Specific 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

3.5.8 12-month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD by Severity

3.6 Discussion

3.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight

3.6.2 Limitations of Analysis

3.6.3 Strengths of Analysis

4 Appendix

4.1 Bibliography

4.2 About the Authors

4.2.1 Epidemiologist

4.2.2 Reviewers

4.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology

4.2.4 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy

4.3 About GlobalData

4.4 Contact Us

4.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Summary of Newly Added Data Types

Table 2: Summary of Updated Data Types

Table 3: Risk Factors and Comorbidities for OUD

List of Figures

Figure 1: 8MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD, Both Sexes, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018 and 2028

Figure 2: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD, Both Sexes, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018 and 2028

Figure 3: 8MM, 12-Month Total Prevalence of OUD, Men and Women, %, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 4: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalence of OUD, Men and Women, %, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 5: 8MM, Sources Used and Not Used to Forecast the 12-Month Total and 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

Figure 6: 8MM, Sources Used to Forecast the Severity of 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD

Figure 7: 8MM, Sources Used to Forecast the Severity of 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD

Figure 8: 8MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD, Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, N, 2018

Figure 9: 8MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD by Age, N, Both Sexes, 2018

Figure 10: 8MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD by Sex, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 11: 8MM 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of OUD by Severity, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 12: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD, N, Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 13: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD by Age, N, Both Sexes, 2018

Figure 14: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD by Sex, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

Figure 15: 8MM, 12-Month Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of OUD by Severity, N, Ages ≥18 Years, 2018

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