Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Epidemiology Forecast to 2028

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a progressive disease characterized by coughing that produces large amounts of mucus, difficulty in breathing, shortness of breath (initially with exertion), wheezing, chest tightness, and other respiratory symptoms. The disease is diagnosed based on symptoms and the results of spirometry testing, which measures how deeply a person breathes and how fast air moves in and out of the lungs (World Health Organization, 2017). Spirometry results can also be used to determine the severity of COPD. The most commonly used severity criteria is the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) standard.

GlobalData epidemiologists utilized county-specific studies published in peer-reviewed journals as well as medical record review studies to build the forecast. The disease definition for COPD was based on symptoms and the results of spirometry testing. The report includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the total prevalent and diagnosed prevalent cases of COPD in the 7MM. GlobalData epidemiologists followed the GOLD 2011 and GOLD 2016 criteria for the severity stages of COPD in this forecast across the 7MM.

The following data describes epidemiology of COPD. In the 7MM, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast an increase in the total prevalent cases of COPD from 59,286,188 cases in 2018 to 67,185,113 cases in 2028 at an AGR of 1.33% during the forecast period. In the 7MM, the diagnosed prevalent cases of COPD will increase from 30,733,034 cases in 2018 to 34,561,468 cases in 2028 at an AGR of 1.25% during the forecast period. COPD is more common in older adults. These trends are reflected in GlobalData’s forecast for the total prevalent cases, and diagnosed prevalent cases for the 7MM.

Scope

The Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Epidemiology Report and Model provide an overview of the risk factors and global trends of COPD in the seven major markets (7MM: US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan).

The report includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the total prevalent cases and diagnosed prevalent cases of COPD segmented by sex, and age (ages ≥35 years) in these markets. The diagnosed prevalent cases of COPD are further segmented by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2011 as well as GOLD 2016 severity stage (GOLD A, GOLD B, GOLD C, and GOLD D) using the COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores and the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea scores.

The COPD epidemiology report and model were written and developed by Masters- and PhD-level epidemiologists.

The Epidemiology Report is in-depth, high quality, transparent and market-driven, providing expert analysis of disease trends in the 7MM.

The Epidemiology Model is easy to navigate, interactive with dashboards, and epidemiology-based with transparent and consistent methodologies. Moreover, the model supports data presented in the report and showcases disease trends over a 10-year forecast period using reputable sources.

Reasons to buy

The Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Epidemiology series will allow you to:

Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global COPD market.

Quantify patient populations in the global COPD market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.

Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups and sex that present the best opportunities for COPD therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Understand magnitude of COPD population by severity at diagnosis.

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables

1.2 List of Figures

2 Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD): Executive Summary

2.1 Catalyst

2.2 Related Reports

2.3 Upcoming Reports

3 Epidemiology

3.1 Disease Background

3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities

3.3 Global and Historical Trends

3.4 Forecast Methodology

3.4.1 Sources

3.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods

3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for COPD (2018–2028)

3.5.1 Total Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.2 Sex-Specific Total Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.3 Age-Specific Total Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.4 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.5 Sex-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.6 Age-Specific Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of COPD

3.5.7 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of COPD by Severity

3.6 Discussion

3.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight

3.6.2 Limitations of the Analysis

3.6.3 Strengths of the Analysis

4 Appendix

4.1 Bibliography

4.2 About the Authors

4.2.1 Epidemiologist

4.2.2 Reviewers

4.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology

4.2.4 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy

4.3 About GlobalData

4.4 Contact Us

4.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Summary of Newly Added Data Types and Countries

Table 2: Summary of Updated Data Types

Table 3: Risk Factors and Comorbidities for COPD

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