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H1 2018 Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook for Key Planned Upstream Projects in Sub-Saharan Africa – Nigeria and Mozambique Dominate Capex Outlook

In Sub-Saharan Africa, a total of 64 key crude oil and natural gas projects are expected to start operations by 2025. Nigeria leads with the highest number of planned projects, followed by Mozambique and Ghana. In terms of announced projects, Nigeria once again leads, followed by Angola and South Africa. Key projects in Sub-Saharan Africa are expected to contribute up to 2 mmbd to global crude production and more than 8 bcfd to global gas production in 2025. Among operators, Eni East Africa SpA, Total Upstream Nigeria Ltd, and Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited lead in terms of operatorship of planned and announced projects.

Scope

Oil and gas production outlook by key countries and companies in Sub-Saharan Africa

Planned and announced projects count and starts by key countries and companies in the region

Details of key planned and announced crude and natural gas projects in Sub-Saharan Africa

Capex and opex outlook by key countries and companies in the region

Reasons to buy

Understand oil and gas production outlook for the Sub-Saharan Africa

Keep abreast of key planned and announced production projects in the region

Facilitate decision making on the basis of strong data on oil and gas projects in Sub-Saharan Africa

Develop business strategies with the help of specific insights on Sub-Saharan Africa production and capex outlook

Assess your competitor’s planned oil and gas production projects

Table of Contents

1. Table of Contents1

1.1. List of Tables 3

1.2. List of Figures 4

2. Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook in Sub-Saharan Africa 5

2.1. Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 5

2.2. Major Planned and Announced Project Starts by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 6

2.2.1. Planned Project Starts 6

2.2.2. Announced Project Starts 7

2.3. Major Planned and Announced Projects by Terrain in Sub-Saharan Africa 8

2.4. Key Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 9

2.4.1. Remaining NPV vis-à-vis Remaining Break-Even Crude Oil Price by Country 9

2.4.2. Remaining NPV vis-à-vis Remaining Break-Even Natural Gas Price by Country 10

2.4.3. Remaining Break-even Oil Price vis-à-vis Production Start Year by Country 11

2.4.4. Remaining Break-even Gas Price vis-à-vis Production Start Year by Country 13

2.5. Crude Production from Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 15

2.5.1. Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 15

2.5.2. Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 16

2.5.3. Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 17

2.6. Key Planned and Announced Crude Projects in Sub-Saharan Africa 18

2.6.1. Planned Crude Projects 18

2.6.2. Announced Crude Projects 20

2.7. Gas Production from Key Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 22

2.7.1. Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 22

2.7.2. Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 23

2.7.3. Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 24

2.8. Key Planned and Announced Gas Projects 25

2.8.1. Planned Gas Projects 25

2.8.2. Announced Gas Projects 27

2.9. Production Outlook and Contribution from Major Planned and Announced Projects 29

2.10. Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 30

2.11. Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Country in Sub-Saharan Africa 32

2.12. Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Operator in Sub-Saharan Africa 34

2.13. Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Sub-Saharan Africa 35

2.13.1. Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies 35

2.13.2. Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies 36

2.13.3. Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies 37

2.14. Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Sub-Saharan Africa 38

2.14.1. Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies 38

2.14.2. Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies 39

2.14.3. Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies 40

2.15. Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Sub-Saharan Africa 41

2.16. Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Company in Sub-Saharan Africa 43

3. Appendix 45

3.1. Abbreviations 45

3.2. Methodology 45

3.2.1. Coverage 45

3.2.2. Secondary Research 45

3.3. Contact Us 46

3.4. Disclaimer 46

List of Tables

Table 1: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 5

Table 2: Major Planned Project Starts by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 6

Table 3: Major Announced Project Starts by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 7

Table 4: Major Planned and Announced Projects by Terrain and Country in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 8

Table 5: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Crude Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 9

Table 6: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Crude Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 10

Table 7: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Crude Projects, 2018–2025 12

Table 8: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025 14

Table 9: Total Crude and Condensate Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 15

Table 10: Crude and Condensate Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 16

Table 11: Crude and Condensate Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 17

Table 12: Key Planned Crude Projects, 2018–2025 18

Table 13: Key Announced Crude Projects, 2018–2025 20

Table 14: Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 22

Table 15: Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 23

Table 16: Total Gas Production from Major Announced by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 24

Table 17: Key Planned Gas Projects, 2018–2025 25

Table 18: Key Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025 27

Table 19: Production Outlook and Contribution from Major Planned and Announced Projects (mboed), 2018–2025 29

Table 20: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 31

Table 21: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 33

Table 22: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Key Operators, 2018–2025 34

Table 23: Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 35

Table 24: Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 36

Table 25: Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 37

Table 26: Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 38

Table 27: Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 39

Table 28: Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 40

Table 29: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 42

Table 30: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 44

List of Figures

Figure 1: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count and Capex by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 5

Figure 2: Major Planned Project Starts by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 6

Figure 3: Major Announced Project Starts by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 7

Figure 4: Major Planned and Announced Projects by Terrain in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025 8

Figure 5: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Crude Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025* 9

Figure 6: Economic Metrics of Major Planned and Announced Gas Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018–2025* 10

Figure 7: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Crude Projects, 2018–2025* 11

Figure 8: Economic Metrics of Key Planned and Announced Gas Projects, 2018–2025* 13

Figure 9: Total Crude and Condensate Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 15

Figure 10: Crude and Condensate Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 16

Figure 11: Crude and Condensate Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (bd), 2018–2025 17

Figure 12: Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 22

Figure 13: Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 23

Figure 14: Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (mmcfd), 2018–2025 24

Figure 15: Production Outlook and Contribution from Major Planned and Announced Projects (boed),2018–2025 29

Figure 16: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 30

Figure 17: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 31

Figure 18: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 32

Figure 19: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (US$ mil), 2018–2025 33

Figure 20: Major Planned and Announced Projects Count by Key Operators, 2018–2025 34

Figure 21: Total Crude Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 35

Figure 22: Crude Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 36

Figure 23: Crude Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (bd), 2018–2025 37

Figure 24: Total Gas Production from Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 38

Figure 25: Gas Production from Major Planned Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 39

Figure 26: Gas Production from Major Announced Projects by Key Companies (mmcfd), 2018–2025 40

Figure 27: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 41

Figure 28: Capex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 42

Figure 29: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 43

Figure 30: Opex Outlook for Major Planned and Announced Projects by Key Companies (US$ bil), 2018–2025 44

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