Low-Intensity Warfare – Thematic Research
- Pages: 30
- Published: March 2020
- Report Code: GDDEF-TR-S010
The term low-intensity warfare (LIW) has been around for decades and had a variety of names, including grey zone warfare, measures short of war, and hybrid warfare. LIW covers a wide range of activities among states, from peaceful competition to conflicts below full-scale warfare. LIWs can also include activities by non-state actors (e.g. criminal or terrorist groups) which can have a disruptive impact on citizen’s daily lives, or a state’s ability to maintain security.
Full-scale warfare disrupts the whole of a country’s society, economy and politics, but LIWs can also inflict a huge social and economic cost through a protracted series of long-term actions. That cost depends on the power factors each side has available, how effectively each one can tackle the problem, and the nature of each side’s interests being affected.
The main trends in the low-intensity warfare over the next 12 to 24 months are highlighted. We classify these trends into three categories: technology trends, regulatory trends, and macroeconomic trends.
The report includes an insightful industry analysis of the low-intensity warfare and key use cases highlighting how armed forces around the world have started working on the development and implementation of the technology.
This report is part of our ecosystem of thematic investment research reports, supported by our “thematic engine”.
Interests determine how countries take decisions regarding their involvement in a conflict and how these shape the force structures and future procurement. LIW is unique as the sides involved include the whole spectrum of power, from nuclear (as a deterrent tool) and conventional powers, to guerrilla forces and terrorist organizations. Therefore, the equipment employed can be major platforms and systems that big powers possess, or it can be improvised explosive devices (IEDs) and light weaponry, usually found in the inventory of guerrilla and terrorist groups.
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Heckler & Koch
Volvo Government Sales – Arquus
Raytheon Integrated Defense Systems
Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control
Table of Contents
Appendix: Our Thematic Research Methodology