Construction in Poland – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2024

With the disruptions caused by the (Coronavirus) COVID-19 outbreak, Poland’s construction industry is expected to contract by 2.8% in 2020. According to Eurostat, the Polish construction industry contracted by 9.6% year on year (YoY) in the third quarter of 2020 (the latest data available at the time of writing), followed by a Y-o-Y decline of 0.7% in Q2 2020 and growth of 4% in Q1 2020.

The economy has started to show signs of recovery, following the lifting of lockdown measures and the government’s expansionary policy measures. However, with the second wave of COVID-19 outbreak, the government imposed new lockdown restrictions with the closure of non-essential businesses from November 7th until December 27th. However, construction sites and factories were exempted from the new lockdown measures.

In the coming years, the industry is expected to be supported by government investments in infrastructure, residential and renewable energy projects. With the Kolej Plus programme, launched by the government in early 2020 with a total investment of PLN6.6 billion (US$1.6 billion), the country’s railway infrastructure will be developed in the cities which do not have access to railway transport. Furthermore, an investment of PLN75 billion (US$18 billion) by PGE (Polska Grupa Energetyczna) in renewable energy projects would help in developing the country’s energy infrastructure.

This report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into Poland’s construction industry, including –

– Poland’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

– Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Poland’s construction industry

– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides –

– Historical (2015-2019) and forecast (2020-2024) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.

– Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

– Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to buy

– Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

– Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

– Understand the latest industry and market trends.

– Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.

– Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

– Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Industry: At-a-glance

3 Context

3.1 Economic Performance

3.2 Political Environment and Policy

3.3 Demographics

3.4 COVID-19 Status

4 Construction Outlook

4.1 All Construction

4.2 Commercial Construction

4.3 Industrial Construction

4.4 Infrastructure Construction

4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction

4.6 Institutional Construction

4.7 Residential Construction

5 Key Industry Participants

5.1 Contractors

5.2 Consultants

6 Construction Market Data

7 Appendix

7.1 What is this Report About?

7.2 Definitions

7.3 GlobalData Construction

List of Tables

List of Tables

Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data

Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators

Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value

Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value

Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value

Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value

Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value

Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (real % change), 2015-2024

Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value

Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors

Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants

Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)

Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)

Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

List of Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Eastern Europe, Construction Output (real % change), 2020

Figure 2: Poland, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)

Figure 3: Poland, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

Figure 4: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate), 2015-2024

Figure 5: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 6: Poland, Construction Value-Add (PLN Million, 2015 chained prices)

Figure 7: Poland, Gross fixed capital formation (Chain linked volumes, index 2010=100)

Figure 8: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index

Figure 9: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 10: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 11: Poland, Tourist Arrivals (Number, thousand)

Figure 12: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 13: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 14: Poland, Manufacturing Value-Add (PLN Million, 2015 chained prices)

Figure 15: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)

Figure 16: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 17: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 18: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 19: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 20: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 21: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 22: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 23: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 24: Poland, Real-estate Value-Add (PLN Million, 2015 chained prices)

Figure 25: Poland, Dwellings Completed (in thousands)

Figure 26: Poland, Construction Cost Index of Residential Buildings (2015=100)

Figure 27: Poland, Dwellings Starts (in thousands)

Figure 28: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 29: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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