Construction in the United Kingdom (UK) – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2024

The Construction industry has been hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis, contracting by 36.4% year on year in the second quarter of 2020, and 19.5% in the first half of 2020. In the coming quarters, the construction industry’s output growth is expected to pick up, as construction operations return to a more normal level, and are supported by the government’s focus on the development of the country’s residential and infrastructure sectors. However, the industry faces a number of downside risks in the short term, including the risk of a disorderly Brexit and a rise in infections. Commentators had been expecting a post-Brexit trade deal between the UK and EU, although the probability of no deal has increased significantly recently. Key divergences on issues such as state aid, fishing and financial services have lowered the likelihood of a deal being agreed by December. A failure to reach an agreement will have severe repercussions for the UK economy, particularly for the construction sector.

Reflecting the disruptions caused by the pandemic, coupled with the weak outlook for economic growth, GlobalData forecasts the construction industry to contract by 13.6% in 2020. It is forecast to grow at an annual average rate of 3.2% between 2021-2024, but output in real terms will not return to pre-COVID-19 levels by 2024. The recovery will be supported by the government’s focus on improving regional connectivity through the development of the country’s rail and road transport infrastructure, coupled with efforts to boost energy production. The construction of Europe’s largest infrastructure railway project – the GBP106 billion (US$128.4 billion) HS2 high-speed rail project, which runs between London, Birmingham, Manchester and Leeds, and creates 22,000 jobs – would help level up the country’s economic growth. The construction of the Dogger bank wind farm, which would produce electricity to more than 4.5 million homes in the UK, will contribute to achieving the target of net zero emissions by 2050

This report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the UK construction industry, including –

– The UK construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

– Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the UK construction industry

– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in the UK. It provides –

– Historical (2015-2019) and forecast (2020-2024) valuations of the construction industry in the UK, featuring details of key growth drivers.

– Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

– Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to buy

– Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

– Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

– Understand the latest industry and market trends.

– Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.

– Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

– Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Construction Industry: At-a-Glance

3. Context

3.1 Economic Performance

3.2 Political Environment and Policy

3.3 Demographics

3.4 COVID-19 Status

4. Construction Outlook

4.1 All Construction

4.2 Commercial Construction

4.3 Industrial Construction

4.4 Infrastructure Construction

4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction

4.6 Institutional Construction

4.7 Residential Construction

5. Key Industry Participants

5.1 Contractors

5.2 Consultants

6. Construction Market Data

7. Appendix

7.1 What is this Report About?

7.2 Definitions

7.3 GlobalData Construction

List of Tables

List of Tables

Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data

Table 2: The UK, Key Economic Indicators

Table 3: The UK, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 4: The UK, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value

Table 5: The UK, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 6: The UK, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value

Table 7: The UK, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 8: The UK, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value

Table 9: The UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 10: The UK, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value

Table 11: The UK, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 12: The UK, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value

Table 13: The UK, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2015-2024

Table 14: The UK, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value

Table 15: The UK, Key Contractors

Table 16: The UK, Key Consultants

Table 17: The UK, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)

Table 18: The UK, Construction Output Value (Nominal, GBP Million)

Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

List of Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: The UK, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020

Figure 2: The UK, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)

Figure 3: The UK, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

Figure 4: The UK, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2015-2024

Figure 5: The UK, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 6: The UK, Construction Value-Add (GBP Million, Constant Prices)

Figure 7: The UK, New Orders for Construction (GBP Million, Constant Prices)

Figure 8: The UK, Construction Projects Momentum Index

Figure 9: The UK, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 10: The UK, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 11: The UK, Average Retail Sales Index (2016=100)

Figure 12: The UK, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 13: The UK, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 14: The UK, Total Merchandise Export (GBP Million)

Figure 15: The UK, Manufacturing Production Index

Figure 16: The UK, Manufacturing Value-Add (GBP Million, Constant Prices)

Figure 17: The UK, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 18: The UK, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 19: The UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 20: The UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 21: The UK, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 22: The UK, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 23: The UK, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024

Figure 24: The UK, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)

Figure 25: The UK, Construction Cost Index of Residential Buildings (2015=100)

Figure 26: The UK, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 27: The UK, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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