Prospects for Public Infrastructure Projects, Middle East and Africa

Many governments across the region are attempting to step up investment in infrastructure to support the recovery from COVID-19 disruption and also as part of ambitious strategic plans to promote the private sector, improve connectivity and enhance competitiveness. In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), spending of at least 8.2% of GDP will be needed to meet the infrastructure goals by 2030, according to the World Bank, but infrastructure spending over the past decade has averaged just 3% of GDP. Infrastructure financing has come mostly from public sector funds, but government finances have been hit hard by the impact of COVID-19 pandemic and the slump in oil prices in 2020, creating a requirement for regulatory frameworks and policies to attract greater private investment. When taking into consideration the five key factors (listed below), Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Egypt are considered to have relatively good prospects for accelerating infrastructure investment.

Sub Saharan Africa has significant infrastructure needs, but despite the huge opportunities for investment, funding remains insufficient. Most governments in the region have had to use limited resources to provide COVID-19 support policies. The immediate requirements to deal with both economic and humanitarian crises has generally prevented governments from being able to focus policies on infrastructure investment, but efforts to boost growth will be stepped up. This will be driven by ongoing investment in infrastructure and the expansion of oil production, as well as expansion in the energy sector, in order to achieve sustainable social and economic development milestones, which will help make individual countries more resilient. Tanzania stands out as having good prospects for accelerating infrastructure, along with Cameroon, Ghana and Kenya.

Given the increased focus on infrastructure investment as a potential path to generate growth momentum to support the recovery from the COVID-19 crisis, GlobalData has assessed the potential for governments to succeed with such efforts as well as illustrating scenarios reflecting this

This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for an acceleration in public infrastructure investment, including a listing of key projects tracked by GlobalData.

Scope

– This report provides an overall assessment of governments’/countries’ potential to move forward with (accelerate) their public infrastructure works by considering a series of key factors: the size of the pipeline of projects in each country, the composition of this pipeline in terms of stages of development, the political momentum behind infrastructure investment, the state of the government’s finance, and the economic recovery outlook.

– It also provides analysis based on GlobalData's construction projects showing total project values and analysis by stage of development from announcement to execution.

– The analysis of the size of the project pipeline includes all public and public-private partnership projects as tracked by GlobalData (including roads, bridges, railways, airports, ports, power, water and sewage infrastructure construction projects). It also provides an analysis by all projects at all stages of development from announcement to execution.

– The top infrastructure construction projects in tender, award and execution stages are listed by sector and value.

– It also lays out scenarios (“scheduled”, “risk”, and “accelerated”) to illustrate the possible variation in the potential for spending on the pipeline of projects

Reasons to buy

– Assess all major markets in the region based on their prospects for accelerating infrastructure investment.

– Gain insight into the key policies and issues that will impact the prospects for public infrastructure projects.

– Review scenarios of potential spending on the project pipeline, and access a listing of the key projects being tracked.

– Plan campaigns by country based on specific project opportunities and align resources to the most attractive markets.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Public Infrastructure Prospects

Can governments across the region accelerate infrastructure investment to offset COVID-19 disruption?

Algeria – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Angola – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Bahrain – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Cameroon – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Egypt – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Ethiopia – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Ghana – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Iran – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

Iraq – Prospects for accelerating pipeline

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