Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Powered by

All the vital news, analysis, and commentary curated by our industry experts.

The Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defense Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Lebanese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
– The Lebanese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Lebanese defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
– Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
– Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
– Market opportunities:list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
– Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Lebanese defense industry.

Scope

– Plagued by sectarian violence, the country faces increasing threats of militancy, homegrown extremism, and unrest in refugee camps. In addition, the Syrian civil war has resulted in a large number of refugees’ crossing over to Lebanon to live in camps.

– As a consequence, these refugee camps have increased the burden on the Lebanese economy by fuelling sectarian violence in the country and complicating its internal security.

– Lebanon’s military expenditure, which is valued at US$2.6 billion in 2018, registered a CAGR of 2.98% during 2014-2018. Moreover, the country is anticipated to record a CAGR of 5.01% over the forecast period to value US$3.3 billion in 2023.

– As a percentage of GDP, the country’s defense and security expenditure is estimated to average 4.8% over the forecast period compared to an average of 4.9% recorded during the historic period.

Reasons to Buy

– This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Lebanese defense industry market trends for the coming five years

– The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

– Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

– A deep qualitative analysis of the Lebanese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts

Bell Helicopter Textron
Inc.
MBDA

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 6

1.1. What is this Report About? 6

1.2. Definitions 6

1.3. Summary Methodology 8

1.4. About Strategic Defense Intelligence 10

2. Executive Summary 11

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 12

3.1. Current Market Conditions 13

3.1.1. Military fleet size 13

3.1.2. Procurement Programs 16

3.1.3. Key Drivers and Challenges 16

3.2. Defense and Security Market Size Historical and Forecast 18

3.2.1. Lebanese defense and security expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of

5.01% over the forecast period 18

3.2.2. Cross border violence expected to be a key factor driving defense expenditure 21

3.2.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to increase over the forecast period 22

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 24

3.3.1. Capital expenditure allocation to average

32.4% of the total budget over the forecast period 24

3.3.2. Capital expenditure to grow at a CAGR of

5.41% over the forecast period 26

3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 28

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 30

3.4.1. Sectarian violence and drug trafficking will be the key factors driving homeland security 30

3.4.2. Lebanon considered in the ‘highly affected’ category in terms of terrorist attack 31

3.4.3. Lebanon faces “high risk” from acts of terrorism 32

3.4.4. Lebanon has a terrorism index score of

5.6 34

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 35

3.5.1. Lebanon to remain at the bottom of the Top defense spenders list 35

3.5.2. The country’s defense budget is low compared to other Middle Eastern countries 37

3.5.3. Lebanon’s defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to average

4.8% over the forecast period 38

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers 39

3.6.1. Top 10 Defense market sectors by value (US$ Million) – Projections over period 2018-2023 39

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 40

4.1. Import Market Dynamics 41

4.1.1. Defense industry heavily relies on imports from foreign countries 41

4.1.2. The US is the key defense suppliers to Lebanon 42

4.1.3. Armored vehicles, artillery and missiles dominated Lebanese defense imports during the historic period 43

4.2. Export Market Dynamics 44

4.2.1. Lebanon’s defense export market is negligible 44

5. Market Entry Strategy 45

5.1. Market Regulation 45

5.1.1. The Lebanese Government prohibits FDI in the defense industry 45

5.1.2. Lebanon does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country 45

5.2. Market Entry Route 46

5.2.1. Government-to-government deals are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 46

6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 47

6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 47

6.1.1. Lebanese defense sector is dominated by foreign competitors 47

7. Business Environment and Country Risk 48

7.1. Economic Performance 48

7.1.1. GDP per Capita 48

7.1.2. Gross Domestic Product 49

7.1.3. National Disposal Income (US$ Billion) 50

7.1.4. Exports of Goods and Services 51

7.1.5. Imports of Goods and Services 52

7.1.6. LCU per USD (period average) 53

7.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies 54

7.1.8. Market Capitalization of listed companies as a % GDP 55

7.1.9. Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP 56

7.1.10. Goods Exports as a % of GDP 57

7.1.11. Goods Imports as a % of GDP 58

7.1.12. Services Imports as a % of GDP 59

7.1.13. Services Exports as a % of GDP 60

7.1.14. Net Foreign Direct Investment 61

7.1.15. Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP 62

7.1.17. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output 63

8. Appendix 64

8.1. About SDI 64

8.2. Disclaimer 64

Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Lebanon – Army Strength 13

Table 2: Lebanon – Navy Strength 14

Table 3: Lebanon – Air Force Strength 15

Table 4: Lebanon – Ongoing Procurement Programs 16

Table 5: Lebanon – Ongoing Procurement Programs 16

Table 6: Lebanon – Defense and Security Expenditure (LBP Trillion and US$ Billion), 2014-2023 19

Table 7: Lebanon – GDP Growth v/s Defense Expenditure According to Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 22

Table 8: Lebanon – Defense Budget Split by Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 24

Table 9: Lebanon – Defense Capital Expenditure (LBP Trillion and US$ Billion), 2014-2023 26

Table 10: Lebanon – Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 28

Table 11: Terrorism Index, 2018 32

Table 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 35

Table 13: Top Lebanon Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) – 2018-2023 39

Table 14: Lebanon – Competitive Landscape of Defense Industry, 2018 47

Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Lebanon – Defense and Security Expenditure (LBP Trillion), 2014-2023 20

Figure 2: Lebanon – Defense and Security Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 20

Figure 3: Lebanon – GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure According to Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 23

Figure 4: Lebanese – Defense Budget Split by Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 25

Figure 5: Lebanon – Defense Capital Expenditure (LBP Trillion), 2014-2023 27

Figure 6: Lebanon – Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 27

Figure 7: Lebanese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 29

Figure 8: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 31

Figure 9: Terrorism Index, 2018 34

Figure 10: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 36

Figure 11: Benchmarking with World’s Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 37

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP-2018 38

Figure 13: Lebanese Defense Import Trend, 2013-2017 (TIV values) 41

Figure 14: Lebanese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 42

Figure 15: Lebanese Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2013-2017 43

Figure 16: Lebanese GDP per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 48

Figure 17: Lebanese GDP (current US$ Billion), 2015-2025 49

Figure 18: National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2001-2010 50

Figure 19: Lebanese Exports of Goods and Services (current US$ Billion), 2005-2013 51

Figure 20: Lebanese Imports of Goods and Services (current US$ Billion), 2005-2013 52

Figure 21: Lebanese LCU per USD, 2016-2025 53

Figure 22: Lebanese Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 54

Figure 23: Lebanese Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (%of GDP), 2005-2012 55

Figure 24: Lebanese Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2005-2012 56

Figure 25: Lebanese Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 57

Figure 26: Lebanese Goods Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 58

Figure 27: Lebanese Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 59

Figure 28: Lebanese Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 60

Figure 29: Lebanese Net Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2005-2013 61

Figure 30: Lebanese Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP, 2005-2013 62

Figure 31: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (in Millions), 2005-2014 63

Frequently asked questions

Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023 thematic reports
Currency USD
$1,250

Can be used by individual purchaser only

$3,750

Can be shared globally by unlimited users within the purchasing corporation e.g. all employees of a single company


Undecided about purchasing this report?

Enquire Before Buying Request a Free Sample

Get in touch to find out about multi-purchase discounts

reportstore@globaldata.com
Tel +44 20 7947 2745

Every customer’s requirement is unique. With over 220,000 construction projects tracked, we can create a tailored dataset for you based on the types of projects you are looking for. Please get in touch with your specific requirements and we can send you a quote.

Sample Report

Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023 was curated by the best experts in the industry and we are confident about its unique quality. However, we want you to make the most beneficial decision for your business, so we offer free sample pages to help you:

  • Assess the relevance of the report
  • Evaluate the quality of the report
  • Justify the cost

Download your copy of the sample report and make an informed decision about whether the full report will provide you with the insights and information you need.

Below is a sample report to understand what you are buying

See what our customers are saying

“The GlobalData platform is our go-to tool for intelligence services. GlobalData provides an easy way to access comprehensive intelligence data around multiple sectors, which essentially makes it a one-for-all intelligence platform, for tendering and approaching customers.

GlobalData is very customer orientated, with a high degree of personalised services, which benefits everyday use. The highly detailed project intelligence and forecast reports can be utilised across multiple departments and workflow scopes, from operational to strategic level, and often support strategic decisions. GlobalData Analytics and visualisation solutions has contributed positively when preparing management presentations and strategic papers.”

Business Intelligence & Marketing Manager, SAL Heavy Lift

“COVID-19 has caused significant interference to our business and the COVID-19 intelligence from GlobalData has helped us reach better decisions around strategy. These two highlights have helped enormously to understand the projections into the future concerning our business units, we also utilise the project database to source new projects for Liebherr-Werk to use as an additional source to pitch for new business.”

Market Analyst & Management, Liebherr-Werk

Your daily news has saved me a lot of time and keeps me up-to-date with what is happening in the market, I like that you almost always have a link to the source origin. We also use your market data in our Strategic Business Process to support our business decisions. By having everything in one place on the Intelligence Center it has saved me a lot of time versus looking on different sources, the alert function also helps with this.

Head of Key Accounts, Saab AB

Having used several other market research companies, I find that GlobalData manages to provide that ‘difficult-to-get’ market data that others can’t, as well as very diverse and complete consumer surveys.

Marketing Intelligence Manager, Portugal Foods

Our experience with GlobalData has been very good, from the platform itself to the people. I find that the analysts and the account team have a high level of customer focus and responsiveness and therefore I can always rely on. The platform is more holistic than other providers. It is convenient and almost like a one stop shop. The pricing suite is highly competitive and value for our organisation.

I like reports that inform new segments such as the analysis on generation Z, millennials, the impact of COVID 19 to our banking customers and their new channel habits. Secondly the specialist insight on affluent sector significantly increases our understanding about this group of customers. The combination of those give us depth and breadth of the evolving market.

I’m in the business of answering and helping people make decisions so with the intelligence center I can do that, effectively and efficiently. I can share quickly key insights that answer and satisfy our country stakeholders by giving them many quality studies and primary research about competitive landscape beyond the outlook of our bank. It helps me be seen as an advisory partner and that makes a big difference. A big benefit of our subscription is that no one holds the whole data and because it allows so many people, so many different parts of our organisation have access, it enables all teams to have the same level of knowledge and decision support.

Head of Customer Insight and Research, Standard Chartered

“I know that I can always rely on Globaldata’s work when I’m searching for the right consumer and market insights. I use Globaldata insights to understand the changing market & consumer landscape and help create better taste & wellbeing solutions for our customers in food, beverage and healthcare industries.

Globaldata has the right data and the reports are of very high quality compared to your competitors. Globaldata not only has overall market sizes & consumer insights on food & beverages but also provides insights at the ingredient & flavour level. That is key for B2B companies like Givaudan. This way we understand our customers’ business and also gain insight to our unique industry”

Head of Consumer Sensory Insights, Givaudan

GlobalData provides a great range of information and reports on various sectors that is highly relevant, timely, easy to access and utilise.  The reports and data dashboards help engagement with clients; they provide valuable industry and market insights that can enrich client conversations and can help in the shaping of value propositions. Moreover, using GlobalData products has helped increase my knowledge of the finance sector, the players within it, and the general threats and opportunities.

I find the consumer surveys that are carried out to be extremely beneficial and not something I have seen anywhere else. They provided an insightful view of why and which consumers take (or don’t) particular financial products. This can help shape conversations with clients to ensure they make the right strategic decisions for their business.

One of the challenges I have found is that data in the payments space is often piecemeal. With GD all of the data I need is in one place, but it also comes with additional market reports that provide useful extra context and information. Having the ability to set-up alerts on relevant movements in the industry, be it competitors or customers, and have them emailed directly to me, ensures I get early sight of industry activity and don’t have to search for news.

Senior Account Manager, TSYS
Go even deeper with GlobalData Intelligence Center

Every Company Report we produce is powered by the GlobalData Intelligence Center.

Subscribing to our intelligence platform means you can monitor developments at Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023 in real time.

  • Access a live Future of the Lebanese Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023 dashboard for 12 months, with up-to-the-minute insights.
  • Fuel your decision making with real-time deal coverage and media activity.
  • Turn insights on financials, deals, products and pipelines into powerful agents of commercial advantage.