Food and Grocery Retailing in Poland – Market Summary & Forecasts; Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and forecasts to 2020

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Food and grocery accounted for 69.8% of total market retail sales in 2015. From PLN359 billion in 2015, the food and grocery retail market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.53% over the forecast period, to reach PLN448 billion by 2020. Rising disposable income, an ongoing trend of rapid urbanization, the rapid adoption of private label brands, and increasing competition among retailers will transform consumer consumption patterns.

Scope

• Food and Grocery accounts for a major portion of domestic consumption in the country.

• A growing young population with increasing working hours is looking for convenient and healthy foods.

• As the sector is witnessing robust growth, many foreign retailers are investing in the country

• Sales through online channel are expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.52% during 2015-2020.

Reasons to Buy

Gain a comprehensive knowledge on food and grocery sector in the Poland retail market and develop a competitive advantage from the start of your supply chain

Investigate current and forecast behaviour trends in food and grocery category to identify the best opportunities to exploit

Analyze the recommended actions to align your marketing strategies with the crucial trends influencing the consumer behavior

Understand the fastest growing categories including drinks, household products, packaged food, unpackaged food and tobacco in the market, with insights on performance across key channels from 2010, with forecasts until 2020

Explore novel opportunities that will allow you to align your product offerings and strategies to meet demand by analyzing the vital economic and population trends, key consumer and technology trends influencing the food and grocery market

Analysis of key international and domestic players operating in the food and grocery market – including store counts and revenues that give you a competitive edge – identify opportunities to improve your market share.

Biedronka
Zabka
Lewiatan
Groszek
Rabat Detal
Lidl
Tesco
Netto
Polomarket
Auchan
Metro

Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1 What is this Report About?

2 Executive Summary & Outlook

3 Market Context

3.1 A growing economy offers new opportunities to retailers

3.1.1 Retail sales recorded healthy growth despite recession

3.1.2 Savings increased among Poles post-recession

3.1.3 Services sector continues to be the major sector for employment

3.1.4 Inflation levels declined to the lowest in the decade

3.1.5 Rise in consumption expenditure a positive sign for retailers

3.1.6 Increasing urbanization offers growth opportunities for retailers

3.2 Shrinking population impacts the labor force in the country

4 Poland Shoppers

4.1 Online shopping entices value conscious Poles

4.2 The luxury sector is gaining momentum with growing number of affluents

4.3 Private Labels and discount stores continue to increase

5 Doing Business in Poland

5.1 Summary

5.1.1 Bureaucracy

5.1.2 Infrastructure and logistics

5.2 Latest business reforms in Poland

5.3 Business culture

6 Retail – Product Sectors

6.1 Product Sector Analysis

6.1.1 Food and Grocery

6.2 Food and Grocery Category Overview

6.2.1 Food and Grocery by Channel

6.2.2 Food and Grocery by Category

6.3 Food and Grocery Category Analysis

6.3.1 Drinks

6.3.2 Household Products

6.3.3 Packaged Food

6.3.4 Tobacco

6.3.5 Unpackaged Food

6.4 Major Retailers

6.4.1 Food and Grocery

7 Appendix

7.1 Definitions

7.1.1 This report provides 2015 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2016-2020

7.2 Summary Methodology

7.2.1 Overview

7.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method

7.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data

7.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes

7.3 About Verdict Retail

7.4 Disclaimer

Table

Table 1: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 2: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 3: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 4: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 5: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 6: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Category 2010-2015

Table 7: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Category 2015-2020

Table 8: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Category, 2010-2015

Table 9: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Category 2015-2020

Table 10: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category, 2010-2020

Table 11: Poland Drinks Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 12: Poland Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 13: Poland Drinks Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 14: Poland Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 15: Poland Drinks Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 16: Poland Household Products Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 17: Poland Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 18: Poland Household Products Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 19: Poland Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 20: Poland Household Products Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 21: Poland Packaged Food Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 22: Poland Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 23: Poland Packaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 24: Poland Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 25: Poland Packaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 26: Poland Tobacco Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 27: Poland Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 28: Poland Tobacco Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 29: Poland Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 30: Poland Tobacco Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 31: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 32: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020

Table 33: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015

Table 34: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel, 2015-2020

Table 35: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Table 36: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in Poland

Table 37: Poland Exchange Rate PLN-USD (Annual Average), 2010-2015

Table 38: Poland Exchange Rate PLN-USD (Annual Average), 2016-2020 Forecasts

Table 39: Verdict Retail Channel Definitions

Table 40: Verdict Retail Category Definitions

Figures

Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ billion), 2010-2015

Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (US$ billion, %), 2010-2015

Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (PLN billion, %), 2010-2015

Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (PLN billion, %), 2015-2020

Figure 5: Gross Domestic Savings Rate (% of GDP), 2005-2015

Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (%), 2005 and 2015

Figure 7: Unemployment Rate (%), 2005-2015

Figure 8: Inflation Growth Rates (%), 2005-2015

Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure of Poland (PLN billion), 2005 and 2015E

Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ billion), 2015

Figure 11: Growth of Household Consumption Expenditure (US$, %), 2005-2015

Figure 12: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2005, 2015, and 2020

Figure 13: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2005-2020

Figure 14: Population Split by Gender (%), 2015 and 2020E

Figure 15: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2015 and 2020

Figure 16: Per Capita Spend on Retail (PLN), 2007 and 2015

Figure 17: Per Capita Spend (PLN) and Total Retail Spend by Age Group (%), 2007 and 2015

Figure 18: online shoppers in the country

Figure 19: Private labels in Poland

Figure 20: Key Components of Doing Business in Poland

Figure 21: Share of Food and Grocery in overall Retail 2015 and 2020

Figure 22: Retail Sales Value and Growth (PLN billion, %) of Food and Grocery 2015-2020

Figure 23: Spend per Head on Food and Grocery 2015 and 2020

Figure 24: Online Spend in Food and Grocery 2015-2020

Figure 25: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend 2015 and 2020

Figure 26: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%) 2015 and 2020

Figure 27: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 28: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 29: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Category 2010-2020

Figure 30: Poland Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Category 2010-2020

Figure 31: Poland Drinks Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 32: Poland Household Products Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 33: Poland Packaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 34: Poland Tobacco Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 35: Poland Unpackaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (PLN mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020

Figure 36: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology

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