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Home > Power >  Netherlands Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2021 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Netherlands Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2021 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

This report discusses the power market structure of the Netherlands and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the country’s power market regulatory structure, competitive landscape, and a list of major power plants are provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in the country on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission and distribution infrastructure, electricity import and export scenario, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. An analysis of the deals in the country’s power sector is also included in the report.

The Netherlands power market overview

The Netherlands power market overview

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Thermal power generation share in the Netherlands to decline sharply by 2030

Thermal power generation share in the Netherlands stood at more than 70% in total generation in 2020. This share is expected to decline by 2030. The decline in thermal power generation is attributed to the Dutch government’s plan of phasing out coal power plants by 2030. In 2019, the Dutch law makers passed a bill banning the use of coal in power generation by 2030. The phase out process is planned to be executed in two steps, with two low-efficiency plants to be closed by 2025, and three newer plants to be closed by 2030. The phase out of coal power plants and no capacity growth of oil-fired plants by 2030 means that the country will have to significantly depend on gas-fired power plants for thermal power generation.

How is the Netherlands power market structured?

The Dutch office of energy regulation, Energiekamer also known as ACM (Authority for Consumers & Markets), is an independent authority that supervises companies in the power sector. It functions under the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy. It is responsible for ensuring efficiency and transparency in the energy market, as well as regulating and controlling tariffs, prices, and terms of supply for consumers. Energiekamer also fixes annual access and transport tariffs for regional power network operators.

Who are the key players in the Netherlands power market?

The generation segment in the Dutch electricity market is dominated by RWE AG, Vattenfall AB, Engie SA, and Uniper SE. TenneT is the sole electricity transmission network operator in the Netherlands. The company ensures continuity in electricity supply and is also engaged in developing, expanding, and maintaining the transmission network in the Netherlands. The electricity distribution network in the Netherlands is operated by eight distribution companies through concession agreements. Enexis, Liander, and Stedin manage over 80% of the distribution network in term of connections in the Netherlands. The major electricity suppliers in the country are Vattenfall AB, Engie SA, and Nuts Groep.

The Netherlands power market, by key players

The Netherlands power market, by key players

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Where are the opportunities in the Netherlands power market?

The Netherlands is heavily dependent on natural gas for power generation due to the presence of large natural gas reserves. However, the reduced gas production from Groningen gas field coupled with coal power phase out by 2030 and nuclear power phase out by 2033 would require ramping up of renewable power capacity to fill the capacity vacuum. As such, there will be opportunities for suppliers of renewable power equipment. In the field of renewables, the most promising areas of new capacity addition are wind power and solar PV, both of which are slated to grow at over 10% CAGR from 2020 to 2030, along with biomass, which is projected to grow at around 9.9% CAGR over the projected time frame.

What are the challenges faced by the Netherlands power market?

The ambitious targets of phasing out coal-fired plants and natural gas production by 2030 are likely to pose developmental challenges for the Dutch government. As of 2020, 64.2% of power generated in the Netherlands came from gas and even though this share is projected to decline to 31.2% in 2030, it will still hold a significant share in the country’s power generation mix. In this context, the decline in domestic gas production is a concern, especially as the government is cutting down production in the Groningen gas field every year since 2013. Therefore, as a matter of energy security, the Netherlands needs to secure a steady supply of gas as it is expected to hold a significant share in the power generation till 2030.

How has COVID-19 affected the Netherlands power market?

The Netherlands was significantly affected due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. To curb the spread of COVID-19, the Dutch Government imposed strict lockdowns in the country. Majority of the sectors in the country were affected due to these lockdowns; however, tourism and hospitality sector was the most badly affected.

With respect to power sector, the electricity consumption in the country declined by more than 1% in 2020 as compared to 2019. Electricity demand from industrial and commercial sectors declined significantly due to the lockdowns. Further, the spread of pandemic disturbed the supply chain leading to delays in the delivery of equipment such as solar panels. Lockdown measures hindered the movement of staff and materials for construction sites which impacted the operational capabilities of market players.

Market report scope

Cumulative power capacity (Year – 2020) 42.7 GW
Base year for estimation 2020
Market overview by Capacity & generation, and transmission & distribution
Forecast period 20212030
Key companies RWE AG, Vattenfall AB, Engie SA, and Uniper SE

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the power market in the Netherlands and contains the following sections;

  • The executive summary captures the key trends in the country’s power market.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Snapshot” section provides a snapshot of the key parameters that affect the country’s power sector, as well as key points about the country’s power market including opportunities, challenges, and the impact of COVID-19.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Market Analysis” section provides the market structure, generation market share, deals, and demand structure.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Regulatory Scenario” section details the regulations and policies in the country’s power sector.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Capacity and Generation” section provides information on cumulative installed capacity and annual generation trends, by individual generation source.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview” section discusses the power T&D infrastructure, electricity import and export, grid interconnections, and electricity trading.
  • “The Netherlands Power Market, Major Generating Companies” section discusses the major electricity generating companies in the country.

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Identify key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data.
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy, and prospects

Companies Mentioned

RWE AG, Vattenfall AB, Engie SA, Uniper SE

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

| About GlobalData

1 Executive Summary

1.1 Thermal power generation share in Netherlands to decline sharply by 2030

1.2 Solar PV and wind power to lead renewable power market in Netherlands

2 Introduction

2.1 Netherlands Power Market

2.2 GlobalData Report Guidance

3 Netherlands Power Market, Snapshot

3.1 Country Summary

3.2 Macroeconomic Factors

3.3 Supply Security

3.4 Opportunities

3.5 Challenges

3.6 Impact of COVID-19

4 Netherlands Power Market, Market Analysis

4.1 Market Structure

4.2 Key Market Players

4.3 Financial Deals

Deal Value and Volume, 2010-2020

Deals by Type, 2020

4.4 Netherlands Power Market, Demand Structure

Power Consumption by Sector, 2020

5 Netherlands Power Market, Regulatory Scenario

5.1 Renewable Energy Market, Overview

5.2 Renewable Energy Targets

5.3 Hydrogen Energy

Porthos

PosHYdon

Magnum Project

5.4 National Climate Agreement

5.5 National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) 2021-2030

5.6 Offshore Wind Energy Act

5.7 Offshore Wind Tenders (Auctions)

5.8 Offshore Wind Energy 2030 Roadmap

5.9 Top Sector Energie (TSE) – the Support Scheme for Innovative Energy Projects

5.10 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)

5.11 Law of 11 December 2019 – Coal Prohibition Act

5.12 Carbon Floor Price

5.13 Feed-in Premium Program – SDE+ and SDE++

5.14 Net-Metering

5.15 “Terugleversubsidie” – Phasing out Net-Metering

5.16 Energy Investment Allowance (EIA) scheme

5.17 Environmental investment allowance – milieu-investeringsaftrek (MIA) and Vamil: Tax Relief Schemes

5.18 Biofuel Quota

6 Netherlands Power Market, Capacity and Generation

6.1 Cumulative Capacity Share by Technology, 2020

6.2 Total Power Capacity and Generation, 2000-2030

6.3 Thermal Power Capacity and Generation, 2000-2030

6.4 Hydropower Capacity and Generation, 2000-2030

6.5 Nuclear Power Capacity and Generation, 2000-2030

6.6 Renewable Power Capacity and Generation, 2000-2030

7 Netherlands Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview

7.1 Transmission Network

7.2 Distribution Network

7.3 Electricity Import and Export

7.4 Grid Interconnection

7.5 Electricity Trading

8 Netherlands Power Market, Major Generating Companies

8.1 RWE AG

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.2 Vattenfall AB

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.3 Engie SA

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

8.4 Uniper SE

Company Overview

Business Description

SWOT Overview

9 Appendix

9.1 Abbreviations

9.2 Market Definitions

Power

Renewable Power

Installed Capacity

Electricity Generation

Electricity Consumption

9.3 Methodology

Coverage

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Modelling and Forecasting

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List of Tables

List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, Netherlands, Macroeconomic Factors, 2000-2030

Table 2: Targets/Ambitions for Renewable Energy Generation (TWh), Netherlands, 2030

Table 3: Energy and Emission Targets, NECP, Netherlands, 2021-2030

Table 4: Offshore Wind Auctions (EUR/MWh and $/MWh), Netherlands, 2016-2025

Table 5: Schedule for Topsector Energie subsidy programme, Netherlands, 2021

Table 6: Eligible Technologies for the SDE++ Subsidy Scheme, Netherlands, 2021

Table 7: SDE++ Subsidy Scheme Tender Details, Netherlands, 2021

Table 8: Biofuel Obligations for Fuel Suppliers Based on Energy Content (%), Netherlands, 2010-2030

Table 9: Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Table 10: Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation Share by Technology, 2000-2030

Table 11: Thermal Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Table 12: Thermal Power Market, Netherlands, Major Plants, 2020

Table 13: Hydropower Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Table 14: Hydropower Market, Netherlands, Major Plants, 2020

Table 15: Nuclear Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Table 16: Nuclear Power Market, Netherlands, Major Plants, 2020

Table 17: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity (GW), 2000-2030

Table 18: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Generation (TWh), 2000-2030

Table 19: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Major Plants, 2020

Table 20: Power Market, Netherlands, Transmission Line Length (Ckm) by Voltage Level, 2010-2025

Table 21: Power Market, Netherlands, Distribution Line Length (Ckm) by Voltage Level, 2010-2025

Table 22: Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Electricity Import and Export (TWh), 2000-2020

Table 23: Power Market, Netherlands, Upcoming Interconnection Projects

Table 24: Abbreviations

List of Figures

List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Generation Share by Technology, 2000-2030

Figure 2: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity, 2000-2030

Figure 3: Power Market, Netherlands, Country Summary

Figure 4: Power Market, Netherlands, Macroeconomic Factors, 2000-2030

Figure 5: Power Market, Netherlands, Market Structure

Figure 6: Power Market, Netherlands, Market Share of Generation Companies (%), 2020

Figure 7: Power Market, Netherlands, Deal Value and Number of Deals, 2010-2020

Figure 8: Power Market, Netherlands, Deals by Type (%), 2020

Figure 9: Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Power Consumption, 2000-2030

Figure 10: Power Market, Netherlands, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2020

Figure 11: Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity Share by Technology (%), 2020

Figure 12: Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Figure 13: Power Market, Netherlands, Capacity Share by Technology, 2000-2030

Figure 14: Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Generation Share by Technology, 2000-2030

Figure 15: Thermal Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Figure 16: Hydropower Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Figure 17: Nuclear Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Figure 18: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Cumulative Capacity, 2000-2030

Figure 19: Renewable Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Generation, 2000-2030

Figure 20: Power Market, Netherlands, Annual Electricity Import and Export, 2000-2020

Frequently Asked Questions

The Netherland’s total cumulative power capacity in 2020 was 42.7 GW.

The generation segment in the Dutch electricity market is dominated by RWE AG, Vattenfall AB, Engie SA, and Uniper SE.

Thermal power was the dominant source of power in 2020, accounting for more than 55% of total installed capacity.

The Dutch office of energy regulation, Energiekamer also known as ACM (Authority for Consumers & Markets), is an independent authority that supervises companies in the power sector.

Power consumption increased from 100.6 TWh in 2000 to 111.2 TWh in 2020, growing at a CAGR of 0.5%.

In 2020, commercial sector had the dominant share in power consumption accounting for more than 30%.

TenneT is the sole electricity transmission network operator in the Netherlands. The company ensures continuity in electricity supply and is also engaged in developing, expanding, and maintaining the transmission network in Netherlands.

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